Crypto Bear Market 2025: Why Bitcoin Crashed & What’s Next

Yo, what’s good, crypto fam? It’s BitGalactic, your go-to crypto guru with a decade in the game! Buckle up, because Coinbase just dropped a bombshell: we might be in a full-on crypto bear market. Bitcoin’s down 20% since Trump’s inauguration, and the signs are screaming “winter is here.” Wanna know what’s really going on and what to do about it? Stick around—this one’s gonna blow your mind! Hit that like button, and let’s dive in!

Alright, let’s break it down. Coinbase’s head of research, David Duong, just laid out why the crypto market’s looking grim. Their 200-day moving average model—a tool that smooths out short-term noise to show long-term trends—says Bitcoin’s been flashing bearish signals since early March. That’s a big deal. Back in January, Bitcoin hit an all-time high of $108,786 when Trump took office. Everyone thought his pro-crypto vibes would spark a bull run. But nope—global trade chaos from his tariff policies tanked risk assets, and Bitcoin’s down over 20% since.

Now, here’s where it gets spicy. The total crypto market cap, minus Bitcoin, is sitting at $950 billion. That’s a brutal 41% drop from its December 2024 peak of $1.6 trillion. Venture capital in crypto? Down 50-60% from the 2021-22 hype cycle. And check this: investors are ditching risky assets like altcoins and piling into gold. These are classic “crypto winter” red flags.

But let’s add some BitGalactic flavor. I’ve been tracking on-chain data, and whale activity is slowing—big players aren’t buying the dip like they did in 2023. Plus, Google Trends shows “crypto bear market” searches spiking in the U.S. since February 2025. This isn’t just Coinbase’s take; the market’s feeling the chill.

Let’s zoom out. This isn’t our first rodeo. Back in 2018, Bitcoin crashed 70% after its $20,000 peak, and altcoins got wrecked even worse. Why? Regulatory crackdowns and over-leveraged hype. Fast forward to 2022, we saw another bear market when inflation and Fed rate hikes crushed risk assets. Crypto market cap dropped from $3 trillion to under $1 trillion in months.

What’s different now? Unlike 2018, we’ve got way more institutional adoption—think BlackRock and Fidelity. But like 2022, macro uncertainty is the killer. Trump’s trade policies are spooking markets like the Fed did back then. My take? This bear market might not be as deep as 2018, but it could drag longer than 2022 if global economies keep wobbling.

So, what’s next? Coinbase’s Duong thinks we might see a recovery by Q3 2025, but I’m cautiously optimistic. If trade tensions ease and institutional money flows back, we could see Bitcoin test $80,000 by summer. But if tariffs keep hammering markets, altcoins could bleed another 20%. My advice? Dollar-cost average into blue-chip coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum, and avoid sketchy meme coins for now.

What do you think? Are we stuck in a crypto winter, or is this just a dip before the next bull run? Drop your thoughts in the comments—I read every single one! And hey, if you’re new to crypto, what’s the one coin you’re holding through this storm? Let’s start a convo!

That’s a wrap, crypto fam! If you loved this deep dive, smash that subscribe button and ring the bell so you never miss a video. We’re dropping weekly tips to help you navigate this wild crypto world. Stay smart, stay safe, and I’ll catch you in the next one. Peace!